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Case-Shiller: June Home Prices Higher

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Case-Shiller: June Home Prices HigherS&P Case Shiller Home Price Indices reported new record gains for home prices in June. The National Home Price Index rose by a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 18.60 percent as compared to May’s home price increase rate of 16.80 percent. Home prices were 41 percent higher than they were during the 2006 housing boom; home price growth was driven by high demand for homes coupled with short supplies of homes for sale.  

20-City Home Price Index Posts Month-to-Month Home Price Gain of 2 Percent

The S&P Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index posted a two percent gain in June as compared to May. Home prices rose by 19.10 percent on a seasonally adjusted annual basis in June;  all 20 cities included in the index reported higher home prices. Phoenix, Arizona held first place for home price growth in June with a year-over-year price gain of 29.30 percent. San Diego, California held second place in the 20-City Home Price Index with a year-over-year price gain of 27.10 percent and Seattle Washington followed with year-over-year home price growth of 25.00 percent.

All 20 cities posted higher home price gains in June than in May. Craig Lazzara, managing director and global head of index investment strategy at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said: “In June all 20 cities gained more in the 12 months ended in June than they did in the 12 months ended in May.”

Analysts Say Current Home Price Growth is Unsustainable

Rapidly rising home prices sidelined would-be homebuyers who expressed concerns over the fast pace of home sales, and limited choices of available homes. Cash buyers and bidding wars continued to challenge mortgage-dependent homebuyers, but low mortgage rates continued to draw homebuyers into the market.

Covid fueled an exodus from congested urban areas to less populated areas inland. Families who modified their lifestyles to include working from home and homeschooling their children needed larger homes. As workers switched from commuting to work to telecommuting, they were no longer constrained by physical proximity to their employers, but now that businesses and workplaces are reopening, it’s unknown how or if pre-covid housing and work trends will be re-established or if covid era home-based work and schooling options will expand.

In related news, the Federal Housing Finance Agency released data on sales of single-family homes owned or mortgaged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Home prices rose 17.4 percent from the second quarter of 2020 to the second quarter of 2021.FHFA reported that home prices rose 4.90 percent from the first quarter of 2021 through the second quarter of 2021, and were 1.60 percent higher for June 2021 than in May.

A Complete Guide: What Is A Credit Freeze And Why Is This Helpful?

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A Complete Guide: What Is A Credit Freeze And Why Is This Helpful?Due to recent changes in federal regulations, consumers are now allowed to freeze their credit free of charge. Prior to changes in these regulations, credit bureaus would charge consumers for freezing their credit. What does this mean, and why might someone want to do this?

Freezing Credit Restricts Access To Confidential Information

There are certain situations where consumers may need to have access to their credit reports. For example, they may be applying for a home loan or a car loan. There are other situations where consumers may not need access to their credit reports for an extended amount of time. In this case, it is possible to freeze the credit report to restrict all access. This makes it harder for hackers to access confidential credit information, preventing them from opening an account in someone else’s name.

Who Can Freeze Their Credit Reports?

All consumers have the ability to freeze their credit reports. Even some children may have a credit history, so it is possible for parents to freeze the profile of a child for a certain amount of time. This prevents hackers from stealing credit information regarding children as well. 

How Can Consumers Freeze Their Credit Reports?

It is relatively easy to conduct a credit freeze at any of the three major credit bureaus including Equifax, Experian, and Trans Union. All consumers need to do is request a credit freeze via a phone call,  letter, or an online request. The bureau has to comply, freezing someone’s credit report within one business day. Furthermore, consumers should be able to access free fraud alert services as well. That way, individuals will automatically be alerted if someone tries to open an account in their name. 

What Happens When Applying For A Loan?

If applying for a loan, consumers need to unfreeze their credit reports. Therefore, they should file a request with all three major credit bureaus. They will have to comply within one hour. Then, after the lender has the information he or she requires, consumers can simply request a credit freeze again. That way, they limit the opportunities of hackers who might be trying to steal confidential information and commit identity theft. 

 

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – August 30, 2021

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What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - August 30, 2021Last week’s economic reports included readings on new and existing home sales; the University of Michigan released its monthly Consumer Sentiment Index, and weekly updates on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also published.

New Home Sales and Median Home Price Rose in July

The Census Bureau reported that new homes sold at a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 353,000 sales in July; analysts expected a pace of 350,000 new homes sold based on June’s reading of 349,000 sales of new homes. Homebuyers are buying new and existing homes at a faster pace as more homes and wider choices become available to would-be buyers. The number of new homes for sale rose 5.50 percent month-to-month and was 26 percent higher year-over-year. The median price for a new home rose to a new high of $390,500 in July.

The National Association of Realtors®  reported that July sales of previously-owned homes sold at a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 5.99 million sales; analysts expected 5.87 million sales based on June’s sales pace of 5.83 million sales of previously-owned homes. Real estate pros were pleased with July’s increased sales pace and expected the trend to continue.

Mortgage Rates, Jobless Claims

Freddie Mac reported little change in average mortgage rates last week. Rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged one basis point higher at 2.87 percent; the average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages also rose by one basis point to 2.17 percent. Rates for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages averaged 2.42 percent and were one basis point lower. Discount points were lower across the board and averaged 0.60 percent for fixed-rate mortgages and 0.20 percent for 5/1 adjustable rate mortgages.

New jobless claims rose to 353,000 claims filed as compared to the prior week’s reading of 349,000 first-time claims filed. Analysts expected 350,000 new jobless claims to be filed last week. Continuing jobless claims dipped to 2.86 million claims filed from the prior week’s reading of 2.87 million ongoing jobless claims filed.

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August ticked up to an index reading of 70.3 from July’s reading of 70.2; analysts expected an August reading of  71.0.

What’s Ahead

This week’s economic reporting included readings on Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, construction spending, and Government readings on public and private-sector jobs growth and the national unemployment rate.

The Process Of Estimating Property Values

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The Process Of Estimating Property ValuesProperty values are a moving target. They are important to buyers and sellers because everyone wants to get the best deal possible. Sellers want to get as much money for their investment while buyers do not want to overpay for a home. There are a lot of factors that play a role in property values including the economy, the number of people looking for homes, new home construction, schools, the job market, and more. How do real estate agents estimate the value of a home?

How Much Will Someone Pay For A Home?

The market value of a home is the amount of money someone is willing to pay for that home. This is how real estate agents estimate the value of the home. He or she will usually take a look at similarly priced homes in the area (sometimes in the same neighborhood) to see what those homes are selling for. Then, the price per square foot will be applied to that specific home to calculate its value.

Often, real estate agents use the past six months as a guideline; however, if there has not been much action, agents might go back further. Agents will usually draw a radius of one mile to ensure homes are similar; however, some homes, such as luxury homes, are harder to compare.

A Professional Appraiser Is Usually Involved

Sometimes, home values are calculated by a professional appraiser who is typically hired by a lender. Lenders want to make sure they will get their money back if the home sells in the future. If the buyer is paying more than the appraiser says it is worth, then the lender might ask the buyer to put more money down before financing it.

Real Estate Agents Could Ask For More Information

Real estate agents might also ask homeowners for more information. If one house stands out on the comps sheet, the agent might ask the homeowner what happened. What makes this house different? Is the location different? Did the home sell as furnished? All of this is important for helping realtors ensure they are doing the best possible job in guiding their clients in the right direction. Some sales may still require the help of a licensed appraiser.

The Average Length Of Homeownership For Most Families

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The Average Length Of Homeownership For Most FamiliesIt is critical for everyone to find a home that is right for them. Given the current lack of inventory, this can be a significant challenge. Fortunately, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) keeps track of numerous market aspects, including how long the average family stays in a home. For the past few decades, the average family has stayed in their home for approximately six years; however, during the past few years, that average has gone up to nine years. This means that the average homeowner is keeping his or her house longer than he or she did in the past. Why is this happening?

Why Are Families Staying In Their Homes Longer Than Before?

There are numerous reasons why this might be taking place. First, the real estate market crashed just over ten years ago. When home prices fell, homeowners were worried that they would not be able to sell their home at a price that would pay off their mortgage, also known as a home sale. Therefore, they decided to stay in their homes longer until their homes recouped their value.

In addition, there was a lot of uncertainty about the economy, causing some homeowners to think twice about making a move. They might have been worried that they wouldn’t have the money to cover emergency expenses if they paid for a move.

Finally, the homeownership rate among the younger generation, including those getting ready to have kids, has still not caught up to previous generations. When this generation starts to look for better school districts or more room, they might start looking for houses, causing them to move more frequently. Because they might not currently own homes, they are not selling homes, and thus not bringing down the median tenure.

What Is The Impact On The Housing Market?

So, what does this mean for the housing market? If families are moving frequently, they might not be in houses that are right for their family circumstances. As a result, baby boomers who are looking to downsize or parents with multiple children in a 2-bedroom house might be looking to move in the foreseeable future.  Given the current lack of inventory, this might be a bit of a challenge.